utfidelesinveniatur

lunes, 10 de enero de 2022

The US on the brink of a civil war, according to a CIA consultant


fter three US generals warned of the Army's fracture, a scene of civil war, as an attempted coup after the 2024 presidential election, CIA consultant Barbara Walter judges that the US exhibits several signs that predict a "pre-civil war" insurgency.

Three retired generals  shook  public opinion in an article in  The Washington Post , an establishment newspaper  , that "the military must now prepare for an insurrection in 2024."

On the eve of the first anniversary of the  deadly insurrection  on Capitol Hill , former Generals Paul Eaton, Antonio Taguba and Steven Anderson display their "concern about the aftermath of the 2024 presidential election and its potential lethal chaos in the Army."

They also raise the probability of a "coup d'état" and confess that during the 6/1 insurrection - which General Mark Milley describes as a domestic 9/11 - a "disturbing number of veterans and active members of the army were part of it. of the attack on the Capitol ".

Furthermore: "A group of 124 retired Army officials", baptized as Flag Officers 4 America (Flag Officers for America)  published a letter  that endorses Trump's assertions on the fraud of the presidential election.

The triad of generals exposes the rebellion of Brigadier General Thomas Mancino, in charge of the Oklahoma National Guard - a southern bastion of Trumpism - who claims to obey his royal commander-in-chief, Republican Governor Kevin Stitt, rather than Biden's orders on the controversial issue of mandatory vaccinations.

The triad of generals warns of the "potential for a total break in the chain of command based on party lines, in a scenario of another insurrection." With the US "even more divided than ever", steps must be taken "to prepare for the worst."

On the same day, academic political scientist at the University of California, San Diego,  Barbara Walter , who is part of a CIA consultation panel - which anticipates when countries slide into civil war, weighing various factors such as "anti-democratic tendencies "- he comments that" we are closer to the civil war than any of us would believe.

Dr. Walter is part of the Political Instability Task Force  formerly the State Failure Task Force  under the government, which uses quantitative methods in the hot spots of the planet. Walter concentrates his controversial findings in his forthcoming book  How Civil Wars Start and How to Stop Them .

One of his crucial phrases, which  The Washington Post advances , is: "If you were an analyst in a foreign country looking at events in the United States - in the same way you saw events in Ukraine or in Ivory Coast or Venezuela - you would resort to to a checklist, assessing each of the conditions that  make civil war likely . And what you would find is that the US, a democracy founded more than two centuries ago, has entered very dangerous territory. "  

Based on the  sui generis taxonomy  of the Political Instability Task Force  it states that the US has already passed the "pre-insurgency" and "incipient conflict" phases, leaving the doubt as to whether the capture of the Capitol on 1/6 is part of the " open insurgency. "

Dr. Walter dismantles the myth that the US constitutes a democracy and, based on criteria and quantitative factors, judges that the US  brutally declined with Trump  from the Polity Index score from 10 to 5 points, so that the US "ceased to be the highest. stale and continuous democracy of the world ".

It categorizes the US as an  anocracy : an intermediate category between democracy and autocracy.

In my opinion, this is a reductionist definition that sins of  sociologism  and does not take into account that the United States, in reality, from the point of view of its predominantly  financial system , is reduced to a vulgar  plutocracy , the government of the wealthiest, which it would be even better defined in its current phase as a  cyberbancocracy ,  dominated  by gigabanks —BlackRock, Vanguard, StateStreet, Fidelity - that control the digital tech gems of Wall Street and Silicon Valley: GAFAM —Google / Apple / Facebook / Amazon / Microsoft -, which I detailed in my book  La Invisible Cárcel Cibernética GAFAM .

According to Yale University political scientist Dana Milbank, who analyzes Walter's position in  The Washington Post , the US "is on the rung of the open insurgency stage" of civil conflict. He quotes the University of California, San Diego academic that "once countries cross that threshold," as predicted by the CIA, "sustained violence as rising active extremists launch attacks involving terrorism and guerrilla warfare, including murders and ambushes ".

As it  sounds hyperbolic  to an observer who ignores current domestic politics in the US and its ominous phase of deliquescence with centrifugal tendencies, which are overtaking centripetal forces, in a dynamic of dangerous protobalkanization.

Dana Milbank answers herself and not without justification: "It is not an exaggeration to say that the survival of the United States is at risk."

As if the above were not enough, three days before both the assertions of the political scientists of Dr. Walter and Dana Milbank as one of the three generals, none other than the very influential couple Karen and Gregory Treverton —Gregory belonged to  the Rand Corporation think tank  , Oxford Analytica and was a powerful ex-commander of the National Intelligence Council that publishes the famous  Global report every four years. Trends -  took out a disturbing premonitory article on the notoriously trumphophobic  British website The Article  :  Civil war is coming , in which we only need to know if "it will be fought with lawsuits and secessions or with AK15-S machine guns."

However, the Treverton couple, both from the Democratic Party, admit that the "storm clouds were already evident long before the Republican party realized that it could not win fair elections."

The Treverton couple argue that "the rift may take the form of a looser federation" when Republican supporters wield twice as many weapons as their Democratic counterparts.

The Treverton couple failed to add that about 70% of the US Army is racially white and can succumb to Trumpian supremacism.

It sounds interesting that  notoriously anti-Trump media  are turning to the ominous specter of civil war as the controversial former president has returned to the electoral battlefield amid projections of  a Republican win in the  November 2022 midterm elections when his party can control. both the House of Representatives and the Senate, which is due more to the serious mistakes of President Biden and his Vice President Kamala Harris - from the failed  immigration issue , to the terrible handling of the pandemic, to the unstoppable hyperinflation - than to the successes of the Republicans.

The worst of it is that the profuse infusion of so much fear over the return of Trumpism, with or without Trump, as a preamble to an impending civil war, on the part of the  multimedia  addicted to the Democratic Party, can become a self-fulfilling prophecy because today the US contains within it all the dissolving elements of its fractured society.

 

THE AUTHOR'S OPINION DOES NOT MATCH NEEDS RIA M ENTE 

WITH THOSE OF THE BLOG.

No hay comentarios:

Publicar un comentario