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lunes, 3 de mayo de 2021

The world in danger: on the threshold of the third world war

 


Dimitri Orlov is an American citizen of Russian origin, who has lived in Boston since he was a child, what he says is especially interesting, especially if you are a US citizen. I for my part neither remove nor put anything. Born in 1962 in Leningrad, today St. Petersburg, he is a Russian-American engineer and writer on topics related to the "potential economic and political decline and the collapse of the United States", what he has called "permanent crisis."

Dimitri Orlov argues that this collapse will be the result of huge military budgets, government deficits, an irresponsible political system and the progressive decline in oil. This is what Dimitri Orlov says, addressing the people and rulers of the United States, they have to know that Russia is ready to respond to any provocation, but the last thing the Russians want is another war. They have already caused two very big ones and they know what a people suffers in the face of these two wars imposed against them and this friend, if you like good news, it is the news that you are going to hear in this article, because it is the only front that it can put out the fire of a possible third world war, an idea that already hangs in the air.

In the United States, the current cold war is activated and the anti-Russian rhetoric that flows from a campaign since Clinton's time, is constantly repeated by the media, about the famous red danger; consequently, many people are beginning to believe that a total nuclear exchange, followed by a nuclear winter, would inevitably lead to human extinction. It seems that many people in the United States like to think that way, a kind of divine fatality imposed by them being the "chosen ones," but the reality is quite another.

The cobweb in the eyes of Americans is falling away, allowing them to see their country in serious trouble, but without rationally looking for the causes why. The United States is spiraling straight into financial and political collapse, losing its position in the world and becoming a ghetto the size of a continent, rife with drug abuse, violence, and a decaying social base. Its vicious population, this poisoned with genetically modified food, is morbidly obese and constantly violated by its own predatory police, who turns out to be underhanded in their counties and in complicity with the medical, educational and even real estate sectors, as we already know.

We also know how painful it is to realize that America is hopelessly damaged and to accept the fact that most of the damage is self-inflicted. The endless and useless wars, the boundless corruption of monetary policy, the toxic culture and gender wars, the imperial arrogance and willful ignorance that underlies it all. 

This level of disconnect between what is expected and what is observed certainly hurts, but the pain can be avoided, for a time, through massive deception. This obvious type of downward spiral is not even allowed to automatically spell "Apocalypse", given the peculiarity of the state cult of the United States, by superimposing what is a religiosity of yesteryear with the secular religion of progress, leaving no possibility that there may be other options. Either they raise their morale by incentivized to build colonies on Mars, or they resign themselves to perishing in a ball of fire; given that the humiliation of having to ask the Russians for permission to fly to the international Soyus space station, makes the prospects of realizing American space stations seem even more difficult.

And so most of the recent US vs. Asia-Russia warmongers can be explained by the desire to find someone other than oneself to be guilty of one's disappearance. This is a well-understood, shadow-casting psychological movement where one takes everything that one hates, but cannot admit onto oneself, and projects it onto another. On a subconscious level and in the case of some very stupid, even conscientious people, they expect the Americans themselves to bomb Russia until the fire blazes, but they cannot do so because Russia would strike back immediately. Americans must be aware that they can inspire that same desire in Russia and how they have to believe that they are good while Russia is evil,This makes the scene of an apocalypse seem more likely than we may believe.

But this way of thinking implies a break with reality, there is exactly one nation in the world that attacks other countries and this is definitely the United States, it destroyed for free just because it could Japan, which was willing to surrender anyway. It prepared to attack Russia at the beginning of the cold war, but was held back by the large enough number of Russian nuclear bombs at that time. He later tried to render Russia defenseless in the face of a nuclear attack with the Anti-Ballistic Missile treaty in 2002, but Russia's new weapons prevented him from doing so.

These include, but are not limited to, long-range supersonic cruise missiles (Kalibre) and suborbital inter-orbital missiles that carry multiple nuclear charges capable of evasive maneuvers as they approach their targets (Sarmat). All of these weapons are impossible to intercept using any conceivable defense technology. At the same time, Russia has also developed its own defensive weapons and its latest S-500 defensive system will effectively seal off Russia's airspace, being able to intercept targets close to the ground and in low earth orbit.

While the United States has wasted a fantastic sum of money fattening its notoriously corrupt defense system with various versions of "star wars," none of that money has been particularly well spent. The two Aegis Ashore stations in Europe, completed in Romania, planned in Poland, will not help against "Kalibre" missiles launched from submarines or small ships in the Pacific or in the Atlantic, near US coasts, or against intercontinental missiles that they can fly around them. The THAAD installation currently in South Korea will not change the situation either.

  There is exactly one nuclear aggressor nation on the planet and this is not Russia and this should not matter despite US efforts to undermine it, the logic of mutually assured destruction still prevails. The possibility of a nuclear exchange is not determined by anyone's policy, but by the probability that it will occur by accident, since there is a winning strategy in a nuclear war, no one has any reason to try to start one.

  Under no circumstances will the United States ever dictate its terms to Russia threatening it with nuclear annihilation, if a nuclear war is not at stake, how about a conventional one?  The United States has been making noise with its troops and conducting exercises in the Baltic states, right on the western border of Russia, installing ABM systems in Romania, Poland, and South Korea, supporting anti-Russian Ukrainian Nazis, etc., this all seems quite provocative, can it result in a war? And what would that war be like? Here we must refer to Russia and see how Russia has responded to the previous provocations.

  These are the facts that we know and that we can use to predict what would happen in opposition to purely fictitious conjectural statements, which are not related to known facts, such as when the United States or its representatives attack an enclave of Russian citizens outside of the Russia's borders, here are the types of response we've been able to observe so far:

  1.- The example of Georgia; During the Summer Olympics in Beijing (a traditional time of peace) the Georgian military, armed and trained by the United States and Israel, invaded South Ossetia, this region was part of Georgia only by name, mostly inhabited by Russian speakers and with Russian passports. Georgian troops began bombing their capital, TEJINVALI, killing Russian peacekeepers stationed in the region and causing civilian casualties. In response, Russian troops reached Georgia in a matter of hours, completely eliminating Georgia's military capabilities.

They announced that South Ossetia was no longer part of Georgia, overthrowing Abkhazia, (another disputed Russian enclave) and withdrew. Georgia's warmongering president Sakashvili was declared a “political corpse” and left his place (fleeing as a vile coward from the new Georgian authorities), finally, he was forced to flee Georgia, where he was declared a fugitive from justice. The US state department recently gave him a new job, as governor of Odessa in Ukraine. Currently Russian-Georgian relations have been improving.

  2.- The example of Crimea; During the Olympic games in Sochi, Russia (a traditional time of peace) saw an illegal and violent overthrow of the elected constitutional government in Ukraine, followed by the establishment of a puppet administration chosen by the United States, the majority Russian population of the Autonomous region of Crimea held a referendum. Approximately 95% of them chose to separate from Ukraine and become part of Russia that had already been for centuries and until very recently. The Russians then used the troops already stationed in the region under an international agreement to ensure that the results of the referendum were duly enacted. Not a single shot was fired during this perfectly peaceful exercise in direct democracy.

  3.- Again the example of Crimea; During the summer olympic games in Rio de Janeiro (a traditional time of peace), several Ukrainian operatives stormed the borders of Crimea, they were quickly learned by the Russian Federal Security Service, along with a cache of weapons and explosives, several of them died during the process along with two Russian soldiers; The survivors immediately confessed that they planned to organize terrorist attacks on the ferry that links Crimea with the Russian mainland and a railway station, the leader of the group confessed to having received the promised sum of thousands of dollars to carry out these attacks, eager for a hot, dry bunk and three meals a day, cared for by the Russian government that must seem like a piece of heaven compared to the violence,the chaos and desolation that characterizes life in today's Ukraine. In response, the Kiev government protested against the Russian "provocation" and put and put its troops on alert to prepare against the "Russian invasion."

Perhaps the next US aid shipment to Ukraine should include a supply of antipsychotics. Keep in mind the constant refrain of this music, it always occurs during the "Olympics". This is no coincidence, but it is indicative of a certain American modus operandi, "If you make war during a traditional time of peace" it is both cynical, it is stupid, but the American motto seems to be "If we try something repeatedly, and it still doesn't work, so we're not trying hard enough. " In the minds of those who plan these events, the reason why they never work well may have something to do with it being stupid.   This is known as "level 3 stupid" - stupidity so deep that you are unable to know your own stupidity.

  4.- The example of Dombass, after the events described in point 2 above, this populous and industrialized region that was part of Russia until the early 20th century, and linguistically and culturally Russian. I fell into chaos because most of the locals wanted nothing to do with the government that had been forcibly installed in Kiev, which they considered illegitimate. The Kiev government proceeded to make matters worse, first by enacting laws that violated the rights of Russian-speaking people and then by attacking the region with the army, which they continue to do to this day with three failed invasions and continuous bombardment, against residential and industrial areas, in the course of which more than ten thousand civilians have been killed and many more injured, Russia in response,I help establish a local resistance movement supported by a capable military contingent made up of local residents.

This was done by Russian volunteers, acting unofficially, and by private Russian citizens who donate money to the cause. Despite the Western hysteria about the "Russian invasion" and "Russian aggression," there is no evidence that it exists. Instead, the Russian government has only done three things - it refused to interfere with the work of its citizens by coming to the aid of Dombass, pursued a diplomatic strategy to resolve the conflict, and has provided numerous convoys of humanitarian aid to the residents of Dombass.

  The diplomatic initiative of Russia gave rise to two international agreements Minsk 1, and Minsk 2, which forced both Kiev and Dombass to follow a strategy of political resolution to the conflict through the cessation of hostilities and granting Dombass full autonomy. Kiev has steadfastly refused to fulfill its obligations under these agreements. The conflict is now frozen, but continues to bleed due to the Ukrainian bombardment, waiting for the Ukrainian puppet government to collapse, to complete the picture, let's include the recent military action in Syria, where it came out in defense of the beleaguered Syrian government and demolished a much of the Islamic state and the Islamic caliphate along with various other terrorist organizations active in the region.The reason for these actions is that Russia saw a nest of foreign-funded terrorists in Syria as a direct threat to Russia's security.

Turning now to the military and diplomatic adventures of the United States, we see a situation that is quite different. United States military spending is responsible for more than half of all federal discretionary spending, overshadowing other vital sectors such as infrastructure, medicine, and public education, serving several purposes. Most importantly, it is a public employment program: a way to employ people who cannot find employment in any truly productive capacity due to lack of intelligence, education, and training. Second, it is a way for politicians and defense contractors to enrich each other synergistically and at the expense of the public. Third, it is an advertising program for the sale of weapons,being the United States the main supplier of lethal weapons in the world.

  Finally, it is a way of projecting force around the world, bombarding any country that dares to oppose Washington's hegemonic ambitions, often with total disregard for international law, nowhere on this list is the objective of defending the United States none of these justifications works with respect to Russia.

In dollar terms, the United States surpasses Russia in defense. However, viewed in terms of purchasing parity, Russia manages to buy up to ten times more defensive capacity per unit of national wealth than the United States. 31.07 mill. 

Article by Dimitri Orlov.

 

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